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Anticipate the futures that will define your strategy.

Strategic Foresight is a 100% proprietary intelligence capability at TacticRisk. It integrates MICMAC, MACTOR and KASIM in a single study to build your Corporate Futures Map: the scenarios you'll decide on.

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This isn't software you operate: it's a study produced by the TacticRisk team for your organization.

Foresight · Scenario map
Strategic Foresight scenario map

Why long-term decisions fail.

Five typical failures of strategic planning (and how foresight solves them). Hover over each card.

01

Decisions by intuition

Strategy is set with opinions and past experience, without analyzing what moves the system.

With Foresight — Structural analysis that shows, in numbers, which variables shape your future.

02

Poorly prioritized variables

You invest in what looks important but carries little weight, and ignore what truly shapes the future.

With Foresight — MICMAC and MICMAC²: influence and dependence to prioritize where to act.

03

A single assumed future

You plan as if the future were predictable, without considering alternative scenarios.

With Foresight — KASIM builds every possible scenario: optimistic, trend and pessimistic.

04

Ignored actors

Strategy is designed without seeing who has the power to drive or block the objectives.

With Foresight — MACTOR maps the power, alliances and conflicts of the key actors.

05

No methodological integration

Environment, variables, scenarios and actors are analyzed separately and coherence is lost.

With Foresight — A single study integrates everything with end-to-end methodological coherence.

The foresight analysis, in five stages.

Each stage builds on the previous one: what's detected in the environment becomes a variable, scenarios give context to actors, and everything is integrated into a report.

  1. 01

    Explore

    Environment signals with Horizon Scanning: trends, weak signals and disruptive events.

  2. 02

    Analyze

    Cross-impact matrix: influence and dependence with MICMAC and MICMAC².

  3. 03

    Project

    Possible future scenarios from the critical variables with KASIM.

  4. 04

    Map

    Actors, power, positions, conflicts and alliances with MACTOR.

  5. 05

    Communicate

    Executive report with everything integrated, ready to present.

This full cycle is what we deliver in a Strategic Foresight study.

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Five methodologies, one study.

Pick a methodology and see what it does and what it produces. Based on the French School of Foresight.

Horizon Scanning

Explores the environment and classifies signals of change before they are visible to conventional analysis.

What it produces

  • Signal map by PESTEL dimension
  • Trends, weak signals and disruptive events
  • Signals sorted by time horizon

MICMAC

Analyzes influence relationships between variables and identifies which ones truly shape the system.

What it produces

  • Influence and dependence of each variable
  • The 4 quadrants: linkage, critical, dependent and autonomous
  • Ranking of key variables

MICMAC²

Computes indirect (second-order) influences, often more decisive than the direct ones.

What it produces

  • Comparison of direct vs. indirect classification
  • Variables that change quadrant
  • Priorities hidden from direct analysis

KASIM

Builds the scenario space by combining the possible states of the critical variables.

What it produces

  • Optimistic, trend and pessimistic scenarios
  • Parallel-coordinates visualization
  • Prioritized strategic scenarios

MACTOR

Maps the real power of actors and their position toward the strategic objectives.

What it produces

  • Ranking of actors by mobilization capacity
  • Balance of forces: viable, blocked or contested
  • Conflicts and alliances weighted by real influence

The five methodologies are integrated into a single report, tailored to your organization.

Ask about your case

Understand what really moves your environment.

We identify the key variables and place them by their influence and dependence, so you know which ones are worth acting on and which just need watching.

  • Influence / dependence plane
  • Driver and dependent variables
  • Focus on what actually changes the system
Foresight · MICMAC plane
Foresight · MICMAC plane

Don't bet on a single future. Work with several.

We build optimistic, likely and pessimistic scenarios and visualize them in parallel coordinates, to prioritize which one to design your strategy on.

  • Scenarios from state combinations
  • Parallel-coordinates visualization
  • Scenario prioritization
Foresight · Scenario map
Foresight · Scenario map

Futures are defined by actors. Map them.

We analyze the actor game (their power, alliances and conflicts) to anticipate how they'll influence the scenarios that matter to you.

  • Actor influence matrix
  • Power, alliances and conflicts
  • Key-actor management
Foresight · Influence matrix
Foresight · Influence matrix

The Corporate Futures Map.

You move from analyzing current risks to building the possible futures that will drive your strategic decisions. An actionable report with prioritized scenarios, a target scenario and a strategy to reach it.

Where can foresight be applied?

Wherever there are long-term decisions and uncertainty, there's a future you can anticipate with method. Pick a field and see what we could do.

Select a sector

Each point can be deepened or expanded to fit the client's needs and the characteristics of each study.

Choose how deep you want to look into the future.

Three levels of depth, plus the expert validation (Delphi) you can add to any of them.

Level 01

Exploration & Diagnosis

Strategic Insights, Trend Analysis & Scenario Mapping

US$700
20 – 30 daysScan → Analyze → Map

The rigorous starting point. We analyze your organization's environment with internationally recognized strategic methodologies, identify the variables that truly move your system and build three possible scenarios your organization may face. A solid basis for decisions with vision.

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What we do

  • PESTEL analysis of the macro environment
  • SWOT + CAME analysis with defined strategic actions
  • Porter's 5 Forces — competitive dynamics of the sector
  • Horizon Scanning — signals of change by time horizon
  • Identification of megatrends and change drivers of the sector
  • Detection of weak signals and emerging variables
  • Impact / uncertainty matrix — prioritizing the environment
  • Sector trend radar
  • MICMAC structural analysis — critical, lever, dependent and autonomous variables
  • Construction of 3 possible scenarios — optimistic, trend and adverse, with hypotheses per variable

Deliverables

  • Strategic environment diagnosis report
  • Map of trends and signals of change by horizon
  • Sector trend radar
  • Competitive positioning analysis
  • MICMAC results with variables classified by strategic quadrant
  • Three future scenarios with characterization and strategic implications
  • Executive presentation with findings and recommendations

Ideal for organizations that need to understand their environment, identify critical variables and anticipate possible futures before defining their strategy.

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Most chosen

Level 02

Advanced Foresight Analysis

Deep Foresight & Power Mapping

US$1,000
30 – 45 daysScan → Analyze → Foresight → Power Map

A complete foresight analysis. We go beyond diagnosis: we build the system architecture, the possible futures and the power map of the actors who will determine which scenario materializes. We identify conflicts, alliances and the structural variables being driven or blocked by the real actor dynamics.

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What we do

Includes everything in Level 01, plus:

  • MICMAC² — indirect-influence analysis that reveals variables emerging as strategic in second-order effects, detecting classification shifts invisible to direct analysis
  • Advanced KASIM — scenarios from combinations of critical-variable states, parallel-coordinates visualization, identification and prioritization of strategically relevant scenarios
  • Full MACTOR — key actors, influence matrix, each actor's position toward the objectives, positions weighted by real influence (MAO), balance of forces per objective, mobilization index (Ii), weighted convergence and divergence (CAA)
  • Variable exposure — detecting which critical variables are being driven or blocked by the actor dynamics
  • Map of conflicts and alliances weighted by real influence, not simple counting

Deliverables

Everything in Level 01, plus:

  • MICMAC² analysis with variables that change classification under indirect influences
  • Expanded scenario map with parallel coordinates
  • Full MACTOR analysis with actor ranking by systemic mobilization
  • Balance of forces per strategic objective — viable, blocked or contested
  • Map of conflicts and alliances with weighted intensity
  • Exposure of critical variables to actor dynamics
  • Professional executive report with analytical charts for every module

Ideal for organizations that need to understand not only what may happen, but who holds the real power to determine it and how to position themselves in that field of forces.

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Complete study

Level 03

Strategy & Applied Planning

Strategic Foresight & Action Planning

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45 – 60 daysScan → Analyze → Foresight → Apply → Plan

The complete foresight analysis turned into executable strategy. We apply every advanced-analysis module and translate them into a concrete strategic plan oriented to the scenario your organization decides to build. From analysis to results: objectives, initiatives, indicators and an implementation roadmap.

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What we do

Includes everything in Levels 01 and 02, plus:

  • Target scenario definition — we define which of the built scenarios is the desired one and what conditions to create to reach it
  • Organizational strategy design — positioning toward the target scenario considering the power map, conflicts and alliances
  • Strategic objectives — long-term objectives aligned with the target scenario and the organization's real capabilities
  • Action plan — priority programs and initiatives with owners, resources and timelines
  • Tracking indicators — key metrics to monitor progress toward the target scenario
  • Implementation roadmap — logical, time-sequenced order of the strategic initiatives
  • Key-actor management — relationship strategy with critical actors (MACTOR) to strengthen alliances and manage conflicts

Deliverables

Everything in Levels 01 and 02, plus:

  • Formal target-scenario definition with strategic rationale
  • Organizational strategy document
  • Strategic objectives map
  • Action plan with programs, owners and timelines
  • Tracking-indicators dashboard
  • Implementation roadmap at 12, 24 and 36 months
  • Key-actor management strategy
  • Complete executive report, ready to present to the board, investors or funders

Ideal for organizations that need a rigorous, methodologically backed plan oriented to concrete results in a complex and uncertain environment.

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Add-on · attaches to any level

Delphi Validation

US$300

Structured rounds of expert consultation that adjust the scenarios and consolidate the conclusions with external methodological backing. It can be added to any of the three levels to reinforce their rigor.

  • Structured consultation with an expert panel
  • Adjustment and consolidation of the scenarios
  • Methodological consensus on the key scenarios
  • External backing that strengthens the conclusions

Added when you request any of the three levels.

From environment scanning to long-term strategy.

Foresight doesn't end at the scenario: it defines the desired future and the route to reach it, with indicators to track it over time.

Horizon scanning

Signals of change by time horizon.

Trend radar

Megatrends and sector drivers.

Target scenario

Defining the desired future and its route.

Organizational strategy

Long-term objectives and indicators.

We can review together what scope your organization needs in a 30-minute meeting.

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Long-term decisions in complex environments.

Organizations and teams that need to anticipate the future with method.

Strategy consulting

Foresight analysis, planning and uncertainty management for clients.

Public sector

Public policy, territorial planning and development strategies.

Large organizations

Long-term corporate strategy and competitive-environment analysis.

Agencies and NGOs

Analysis of complex social systems and power dynamics.

Academia and research

Structural analysis with a rigorous methodological basis and reproducible results.

Think tanks

Scenario building for sectors, countries or topics.

We also created UMBRAL, a free game that brings foresight into the classroom.

Discover UMBRAL

The foresight analysis, from the inside.

MICMAC plane · influence / dependence
MICMAC plane · influence / dependence
Scenario map · KASIM
Scenario map · KASIM
Influence planes
Influence planes
Actor influence matrix
Actor influence matrix
Influence plane
Influence plane

Build your Corporate Futures Map.

Tell us about your organization and we'll build a foresight study tailored to you. We reply within 48 business hours.

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